Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.166667 3.496804 3.854074 4.270653 4.744568 5.268696 5.894643
2025-08-17 2.609944 3.035994 3.528078 4.142761 4.896032 5.796820 6.967269
2025-08-24 2.284393 2.757923 3.331187 4.084690 5.061589 6.302948 8.028585
2025-08-31 2.064482 2.566940 3.198536 4.063852 5.239378 6.811967 9.129917
2025-09-07 1.946447 2.484450 3.183916 4.179069 5.590708 7.572940 10.664255
2025-09-14 1.802953 2.350939 3.083349 4.158549 5.740327 8.055617 11.848813
2025-09-21 1.676093 2.226572 2.980359 4.118129 5.847616 8.476671 12.985403
2025-09-28 1.525034 2.055779 2.796597 3.939872 5.724191 8.521666 13.504680
2025-10-05 1.453858 1.991806 2.758817 3.972297 5.923584 9.092963 14.992996
2025-10-12 1.401253 1.949952 2.748593 4.043215 6.187376 9.795628 16.821276
2025-10-19 1.352735 1.910060 2.737082 4.108888 6.445888 10.515763 18.798160
2025-10-26 1.304536 1.866936 2.716565 4.156478 6.675693 11.208870 20.838292
2025-11-02 1.251763 1.814803 2.680285 4.178167 6.868498 11.870246 22.966923
2025-11-09 1.172686 1.717118 2.565218 4.057026 6.791846 12.008780 23.991950
2025-11-16 1.114011 1.648089 2.491676 4.000974 6.828254 12.371375 25.590253
2025-11-23 1.067272 1.595345 2.441170 3.980750 6.929054 12.875100 27.621942
2025-11-30 1.048850 1.587178 2.463901 4.093057 7.297349 13.987231 31.408906
2025-12-07 1.008062 1.539820 2.416951 4.073061 7.398730 14.533547 33.852924
2025-12-14 0.966925 1.489683 2.362095 4.033669 7.455710 14.986789 36.148670
2025-12-21 0.906524 1.404275 2.241178 3.859913 7.215288 14.723122 36.340194
2025-12-28 0.882919 1.380307 2.227175 3.891522 7.415272 15.527261 39.893135
2026-01-04 0.866413 1.367600 2.232301 3.960652 7.703560 16.588446 44.542641
2026-01-11 0.849949 1.354056 2.234935 4.024662 7.986927 17.681443 49.635595